Live Betting On The NBA – Secrets Of Earnings : Part 3
Bet on the plus handicap small teams, losing away East: frequent and, surprisingly, a very successful system. Strong Eastern groups like “Milwaukee”, “Brooklyn”, “Indiana,” “Boston” and “Miami” often become hostages of one of the most interesting patterns in the NBA – a team wins 10 points, stands at 20% weaker teams, “losing 10 points “(research conducted Yahoo !, Justin Rao and Matthew Goldman). This means that driving with a comfortable difference of 10-20 points after 24 minutes, the average performance will not be especially abut the next two quarters, which gives us every reason to put the guests in the second half when the three conditions: the difference in the score after the first half from “-3” to “-18”, for the second half handicap from “0” to “2” and the coefficient on the away win in the match no less than 2.7. The probability of winning almost 65%, and the yield – about 25%.
Example: “Boston” loses 7 points after the first half at a party at the “Milwaukee.” Odds of winning “Boston” the second is “1.5”, and the coefficient of winning throughout the match – 3.05. “Celtics” takes 47-43 second half, losing the match, but again we are winners.
Every year, regardless of the “force” draft pick, the team with the winning percentage of less than 40 start to chase the worst result in the final third of the season. That is necessary to put an opponent on the odds of such a team. Especially when it plays at home. Especially when it lost in the previous game in the last seconds or even won it and got a “scolding” in the locker room from broke back with the words “What are you doing that? How do we get the new LeBron / Durant / Wiggins, if you win ?! “. This pattern gives about 60% wins and yields over 12%.
soon part 4 : Live Betting On The NBA – Secrets Of Earnings : Part 4